Thursday, July 17, 2008

Poll numbers tell us it is time to get to work


SC Hotline posted polling numbers from Public Policy Polling that put the 2010 Governor's race in South Carolina up for grabs. While the numbers on that particular race were interesting, the numbers about the 2008 Presidential campaign were more pressing in my opinion.

Public Policy Polling, a group out of Raleigh, NC, found in their most recent polling of South Carolina voters, that John McCain was only up over Barak Obama by a margin of 45 percent to 39 percent. There is a 4.2 percent margin of error in the poll. See the polling data at http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_SC_715.pdf

If that data is taken as solid, South Carolina could become a semi-battleground state for the first time since 1980, when Ronald Reagan had a strong presence to defeat President Jimmy Carter of Georgia, the last Democrat to win South Carolina's presidential vote. (Carter won in 1976, and came relative close in 1980 against Reagan.)

From 1980 forward, South Carolina has been thought of as a Republican only state in Presidential elections. However, with the current Presidential race so relatively close and the future Governor match ups virtually tied, there are signs that things are changing in South Carolina.

If the numbers recently published are to be accepted, then South Carolina Republicans face a new political reality. In that new political reality, South Carolina Republicans will have to work for statewide victories and not rely upon just their party label for easy victories. The published numbers show those of us who are Republican that the days of sitting on our collective arses are over. We must fight now for every vote and pay diligent attention to the things we do and propose.

Barak Obama's good summertime numbers in South Carolina are a wake up call to South Carolina Republicans to roll up their sleeves and get to work. Obama talks about hope and dreams, and his followers buy into it. But, political victory can be found in hard work. It is time to get to work.

2 comments:

  1. AnonymousJuly 17, 2008

    I agree we should get to work to be sure Obama doesn't win in SC, but the numbers from this particular poll are bogus.

    To begin with, it's an inexpensive push-button poll...which means we have no idea of the accuracy of any of its data. Legit polls use live operators who can tell if it's a 7-year old boy who answers the phone instead of the 49-year old woman who he claims to be.

    Secondly, even if the push-button part was overlooked and we assume the data are accurate, check out the gender breakdown of the sample -- 57% women and 43% men. This would favor Obama in a big way. Hence, bogus results.

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  2. I wonder if more SC Repubs will take your attitude after this news or that of the SC GOP's mouthpiece over at Palmetto Scoop who doesn't seem to think these numbers mean anything except an SC lock for McCain...

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